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From Military Escalation to Maximizing Gains: How the Houthis Use Bab al-Mandeb as a Bargaining Lever

From Military Escalation to Maximizing Gains: How the Houthis Use Bab al-Mandeb as a Bargaining Lever

  Executive Summary This study presents an analytical reading of the Houthi militia’s shift from a model centered on direct military control to a more complex approach that uses milit...

23 Aug 2026 . 16:11
From Armed De-escalation to an Expanding War: Strategies of Parties in Yemen and Scenarios for the Coming Phase of Confrontation

From Armed De-escalation to an Expanding War: Strategies of Parties in Yemen and Scenarios for the Coming Phase of Confrontation

    Executive Summary The current escalation began with a dispute over airspace sovereignty in July. An Iranian aircraft landed in Sana’a on 3 July. On 13 July, the airport ru...

23 Aug 2026 . 20:01
Mocha in the Red Sea Security Equation:Significance of Houthi Escalation in Bab al-Mandab
Situation Assessment

Mocha in the Red Sea Security Equation:Significance of Houthi Escalati...

  Introduction Between 9 and 14 August 2026, the city of Mocha and the area surrounding its port on Yemen’s weste...

15 Aug 2026 . 14:36
The Yemeni Tribe and War: Transformations of the Tribal Role under Houthi Control
Fıles

The Yemeni Tribe and War: Transformations of the Tribal Role under Hou...

Executive Summary This study examines the transformations in the role of the Yemeni tribe during the war and under the control ...

01 Aug 2026 . 02:32
What Lies Behind Iran’s Test of New Rules of Engagement in Yemen?
Situation Assessment

What Lies Behind Iran’s Test of New Rules of Engagement in Yemen?...

  Introduction       The landing of an Iranian aircraft at Sana’a International Airport on July 3,...

08 Jul 2026 . 03:58
Five Abaad Publications Track Yemen’s Shift from Armed De-escalation to an Expanding Conflict

Five Abaad Publications Track Yemen’s Shift from Armed De-escalation t...

       Abaad Studies and Research Center issued five publications in August 2...

03 Sep 2026 . 09:46
Abaad Expands Research Output in July with Focus on Sovereignty, Tribal Dynamics and Regional Escalation

Abaad Expands Research Output in July with Focus on Sovereignty, Triba...

      Abaad Studies and Research Center intensified its research and analytical ...

05 Aug 2026 . 00:06
Abaad’s Research Activities in June: A Study on US-Iran Negotiations and Their Implications for Yemen, the Early Warning Report, and Multiple Translations

Abaad’s Research Activities in June: A Study on US-Iran Negotiations a...

  Abaad Studies & Research Center released during June 2026 a package of research, ...

04 Jul 2026 . 21:51
The End of Cost-Free Escalation: Government Deterrence, Bab al-Mandab, and the Test of State Recovery
Early Warning & Strategic Indicators

The End of Cost-Free Escalation: Government Deterrence, Bab al-Mandab,...

The bottom line for decision-makers is clear: August 2026 confirms that deterrence is no longer...

02 Sep 2026 . 14:22
Sovereignty Under Test: The Iranian Air Bridge, Bab al-Mandab, and National Mobilization to Restore the State
Early Warning & Strategic Indicators

Sovereignty Under Test: The Iranian Air Bridge, Bab al-Mandab, and Nat...

The bottom line for decision-makers is clear:      July 2026 confirms that sover...

04 Aug 2026 . 00:13
Statehood Under Pressure: Aden, Al-Rayyan, the Red Sea and the Humanitarian Warning
Early Warning & Strategic Indicators

Statehood Under Pressure: Aden, Al-Rayyan, the Red Sea and the Humanit...

The bottom line for decision-makers is clear: June 2026 proves that state restoration is no longe...

01 Jul 2026 . 23:34