The Illusion of Control: Miscalculation and the Road to War with Iran
Introduction In a single press conference aboard Air Force One, President Trump advanced mutually contradictory claims. He asserted that the United States had brought peac...
Re-engineering the Red Sea:The Geopolitical Implications of the Israeli–Emirati Partnership
Introduction The Red Sea and the Horn of Africa are undergoing a profound transformation, driven by the gradual disintegration of the post–Cold War security architecture t...
Risks and Scenarios of STC-Induced Chaos in Eastern Yemen: The UAE Redraws Influence Maps in the Southern Arabian Peninsula
Executive Summary The rapid military takeover of the Hadramout and Al-Mahra governorates by the UAE-backed Southern Transitional Council (STC) constitutes what can credibly ...
Between Strategic Vacuum and Internal Fragility: The Future of Houthis After the Gaza War
Introduction The ceasefire agreement reached in the Gaza Strip in October 2025 marks a significant geopolitical turning point. For months, the Houthi movement had acted under the...
Challenges of the War Economy in Yemen
Introduction The economic dimension is one of the most critical factors exposing the depth of the Yemeni crisis and its far-reaching effects on both the State and society...
Geopolitical Implications of the Military Strike on Iran
Executive Summary A twelve-day military confrontation between Israel, the United States on one side, and Iran on the other, marked the beginning of a new era of geopolitical unc...
Does China Support Houthis' Military Capabilities in the Red Sea?
Introduction American accusations against China for allegedly supporting the Houthi movement have intensified in recent months. The most recent claims emerged in mid-April, when the U.S...
U.S. Military Operation against Houthis in Yemen: Objectives and Challenges
Executive Summary: The present paper evaluates the airstrikes campaign launched by President Donald Trump's administration against Houthis in Yemen, beginning on March 15, 2025. The o...
The Regional Rise of Houthis after Nasrallah's Assassination
Introduction: The Middle East is on the verge of a regional war escalation, with Israel ramping up its operations against Hezbollah in Lebanon and Iran retaliating against Israel followin...
Western Strategy in the Red Sea and Deterrence Options
Introduction:- The armed Houthi group has recently announced an expansion of its operations targeting ships, reaching to the Indian Ocean and the...
A Competition Puts Politics and International Security at Risk: Houthi-Iran Relationship with African Pirates
Introduction:- Since November, hundreds of cargo ships have been forced to divert over 4,000 miles around the African continent to avoid attack...
Iran's Strategy in the Red Sea: Goals and Tactics
Introduction:- Iranian decision-makers have openly expressed their interest in establishing a permanent presence in the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden since October 7th. This interest...
Challenges of the Health Sector in Yemen Republic: Unequal Confrontation
Summary This study was aimed to evaluate the situation of the public sector (PC), in Yemen, and to understand the scale of the challenges PC faces, and he types of the difficulties &...
Looming War in the Horn of Africa: Ethiopia's Quest for Access to the Red Sea
The reception of the New Year by Ethiopia and Somaliland, a breakaway region of Somalia, by signing a memorandum of understanding, granting Addis Ababa access ...
Israel's Militarization of Bab Al-Mandab
Introduction Israel has realized the importance of waterways quite early, and took steps to control a number of strategic ports either by direct occupation, or in coordination...
From Launching Economic Projects to Building Military Bases: Chinese Influence in the Horn of Africa
Summary In recent years there has been a remarkable Chinese presence in Africa in general, and in the Horn of Africa in particular, especially after establishing the Forum on China&n...
The Russian Role in the Yemeni Crisis: Incentives and Obstacles
عربي PDF Summary After the collapse of the Soviet Union, Russia undoubtedly lost a great deal of its geopolitical legacy. Yemen was an important axis of this legacy in the Arab Gulf region. Indeed,...
The Russian Return to the Horn of Africa Through the Gate of Eritrea
عربي PDF Summary After a decades-long absence, Russia appears again in Africa. This return has received much attention by the media, governments and civil ...
Regional and International Powers in Bab al-Mandab and the Gulf of Aden: Between Competition and Conflict
عربي PDF Summary This study deals with the strategic significance of Bab al-Mandab Strait and the Gulf of Aden. It explores the outcomes that arose from this and other factors, ...
The Role of Military Diplomacy in Promoting China's Foreign Policy in the Horn of Africa
عربي PDF Introduction This study attempts to define the contours of the Chinese approach of employing the tool of military diplomacy in China's foreign policy strategy. It also attempts to examine ...